NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU HOW
Points 69.4 79.5
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 25.6
Points From Free Throws 11.8 20.3
Shooting FAMU HOW
Field Goals Made 26.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 54.3
Field Goal % 45.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 11.8 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 26.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 76.0%
Ball Control FAMU HOW
Rebounds 30.4 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.5
Turnovers 12.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 17.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU HOW
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 70.8
% of Possessions with FAMU HOW
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 24.2%
Turnover 16.8% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU HOW
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 32.4%