NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU UGA
Points 61.6 84.2
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 28.6
Points From Free Throws 8.2 18.1
Shooting FAMU UGA
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 57.9
Field Goal % 39.2% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 8.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 25.3
Free Throw % 68.1% 71.6%
Ball Control FAMU UGA
Rebounds 33.0 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.5
Turnovers 13.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.0
Steals 5.0 7.0
Fouls 17.1 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU UGA
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 73.3
% of Possessions with FAMU UGA
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 30.8%
Player Fouled 15.1% 23.3%
Turnover 18.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU UGA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 28.0%