NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU SCST
Points 65.0 73.2
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 20.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 17.2
Shooting FAMU SCST
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 59.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 24.6
Free Throw % 68.1% 70.0%
Ball Control FAMU SCST
Rebounds 33.1 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 14.8
Turnovers 16.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 5.8 8.4
Fouls 16.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU SCST
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 75.6
% of Possessions with FAMU SCST
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 23.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.3%
Turnover 22.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU SCST
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 37.8%