NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU AAMU
Points 64.4 70.0
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 12.2
Points From Free Throws 13.7 20.2
Shooting FAMU AAMU
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 53.5
Field Goal % 39.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 13.7 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 27.9
Free Throw % 68.1% 72.3%
Ball Control FAMU AAMU
Rebounds 35.2 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.7
Turnovers 14.6 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.0
Steals 7.2 7.6
Fouls 17.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU AAMU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 71.2
% of Possessions with FAMU AAMU
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 16.3%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.3%
Turnover 19.8% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU AAMU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 30.5%