NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU FGCU
Points 61.8 74.5
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 26.2
Points From Free Throws 8.9 11.8
Shooting FAMU FGCU
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.1
Field Goal % 41.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 8.9 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 17.3
Free Throw % 68.1% 68.1%
Ball Control FAMU FGCU
Rebounds 31.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.7
Turnovers 12.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.8
Steals 5.5 6.8
Fouls 14.1 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU FGCU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 68.2
% of Possessions with FAMU FGCU
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.9% 20.4%
Turnover 17.7% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU FGCU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 29.0%