NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU NCCU
Points 66.6 63.1
Total Points   129.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.0 14.3
Shooting FAMU NCCU
Field Goals Made 24.8 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 53.5
Field Goal % 45.1% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 12.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 20.2
Free Throw % 65.2% 70.6%
Ball Control FAMU NCCU
Rebounds 36.3 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.2
Turnovers 14.1 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.3
Steals 5.8 6.5
Fouls 17.5 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU NCCU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 66.4
% of Possessions with FAMU NCCU
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 24.0%
Player Fouled 24.9% 24.3%
Turnover 19.6% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU NCCU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 23.2%