NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU NCCU
Points 67.9 75.8
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 21.8
Points From Free Throws 11.3 18.4
Shooting FAMU NCCU
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 55.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 26.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 69.0%
Ball Control FAMU NCCU
Rebounds 35.0 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 12.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 4.3 6.3
Fouls 17.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU NCCU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 71.4
% of Possessions with FAMU NCCU
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 25.2%
Player Fouled 19.5% 24.0%
Turnover 17.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU NCCU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 29.1%