NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU FLA
Points 62.4 95.1
Total Points   157.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.4 25.9
Points From Free Throws 11.1 22.4
Shooting FAMU FLA
Field Goals Made 23.4 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 62.4
Field Goal % 37.2% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.1 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 30.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 73.2%
Ball Control FAMU FLA
Rebounds 29.5 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 14.4
Turnovers 12.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 6.5
Steals 5.1 7.4
Fouls 18.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU FLA
Total Possessions 75.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 81.5
% of Possessions with FAMU FLA
2 Point Attempt 55.2% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.9% 25.5%
Player Fouled 17.8% 24.0%
Turnover 16.7% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU FLA
Shot Blocked 10.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 40.7%