NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU NORF
Points 61.9 75.4
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 18.6
Points From Free Throws 12.0 18.2
Shooting FAMU NORF
Field Goals Made 21.8 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 55.4
Field Goal % 41.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.0 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 25.3
Free Throw % 68.1% 71.8%
Ball Control FAMU NORF
Rebounds 32.7 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.3
Turnovers 15.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 4.5 8.4
Fouls 16.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU NORF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 71.0
% of Possessions with FAMU NORF
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 22.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.0%
Turnover 21.8% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU NORF
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 30.4%