NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU TXSO
Points 64.1 73.6
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 22.6
Points From Free Throws 12.0 15.5
Shooting FAMU TXSO
Field Goals Made 23.5 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 59.8
Field Goal % 40.9% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 12.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 21.0
Free Throw % 68.1% 73.6%
Ball Control FAMU TXSO
Rebounds 36.3 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.0
Turnovers 13.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.9
Steals 4.9 7.1
Fouls 15.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU TXSO
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 73.0
% of Possessions with FAMU TXSO
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 28.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.2%
Turnover 18.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU TXSO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 29.2%