NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARK UGA
Points 77.9 76.3
Total Points   154.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 21.9
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.7
Shooting ARK UGA
Field Goals Made 27.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 59.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 26.1
Free Throw % 76.5% 71.6%
Ball Control ARK UGA
Rebounds 37.4 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.6
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 18.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARK UGA
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 74.7
% of Possessions with ARK UGA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.6%
Turnover 14.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARK UGA
Shot Blocked 4.5% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.5%