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Arkansas at Missouri
Sat Jan 18, 2025
6:00pm ET
Columbia, MO
Arkansas at Missouri: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Missouri by 5.5, Total Points: 149.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-14-0 | 14-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 12-5-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 6-9-0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Southern | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Michigan St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | C Arkansas | -35.5 | W by 37 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Samford | -24.5 | W by 4 | -20.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Winthrop | -22.5 | W by 1 | -21.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Jackson St | -29.5 | W by 54 | +24.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Duke | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Fresno St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Queens | -23.0 | W by 28 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | J Madison | -23.5 | W by 29 | +5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Tennessee | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Mississippi | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Auburn | +2.0 | L by 22 | -20.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | South Carolina | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | LSU | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Kentucky | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Mississippi St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Auburn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Alabama | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Missouri | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Missouri | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Hawai'i | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | High Point | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Away | Howard | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | SE Missouri St | -25.5 | W by 5 | -20.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | VMI | -23.5 | W by 38 | +14.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 23 | +15.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Prairie View | -34.5 | W by 18 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | South Dakota | -25.0 | W by 34 | +9.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Carolina St | -34.5 | W by 32 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Cleveland St | -32.0 | W by 27 | -5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 8 | -18.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Bethune | -20.5 | W by 22 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Illinois | +8.5 | L by 43 | -34.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Florida | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Kentucky | +12.5 | W by 5 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Auburn | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 26 | -15.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Mississippi St | -6.5 | W by 5 | -1.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | South Carolina | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Texas | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Vanderbilt | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Arkansas | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Tennessee | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi St | -1.5 | W by 24 | +22.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Oklahoma | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arkansas | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Miami | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| MIZZ -5.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3433 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Missouri won the game 2363 times (68.8%).
- The team like Arkansas won the game 1070 times (31.2%).
- The team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 1729-1664-40 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4901 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 2418-2400-83 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/18 05:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:30 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:25 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/18 12:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:26 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:05 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/18 07:45 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/18 02:32 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:45 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/17 10:15 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/17 09:25 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
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