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Arkansas vs. Michigan
Tue Dec 10, 2024
9:00pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Arkansas vs. Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 4, Total Points: 148
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-10-0 | 15-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-6-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 12-5-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-5-0 | 7-8-0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Southern | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Michigan St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | C Arkansas | -35.5 | W by 37 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Samford | -24.5 | W by 4 | -20.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Winthrop | -22.5 | W by 1 | -21.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Jackson St | -29.5 | W by 54 | +24.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Duke | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Fresno St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Queens | -23.0 | W by 28 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | J Madison | -23.5 | W by 29 | +5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Tennessee | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Mississippi | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Auburn | +2.0 | L by 22 | -20.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | South Carolina | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | LSU | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Kentucky | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Mississippi St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Auburn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Alabama | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Missouri | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 43 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Neutral | Wake Forest | -15.0 | W by 1 | -14.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | TCU | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Middle Tenn | -28.0 | W by 25 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego St | -5.5 | W by 40 | +34.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Auburn | -5.0 | W by 30 | +25.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +2.5 | W by 40 | +42.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -25.5 | W by 41 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Villanova | -18.0 | W by 28 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Maryland | -19.5 | W by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | La Salle | -40.5 | W by 52 | +11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese | -24.0 | W by 41 | +17.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | USC | -22.5 | W by 30 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Penn St | -24.0 | W by 2 | -22.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 10 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Oregon | -18.5 | W by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Indiana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -16.5 | W by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Penn St | -26.5 | W by 41 | +14.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Ohio St | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | -15.0 | W by 12 | -3.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | UCLA | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/21 | Neutral | Duke | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Minnesota | -21.5 | W by 10 | -11.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Illinois | -1.5 | W by 14 | +12.5 |
| MICH -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 947 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 608 times (64.2%).
- The team like Arkansas won the game 339 times (35.8%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 472-448-27 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4480 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 2217-2184-79 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 08:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 05:24 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:52 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:45 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 11:22 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:36 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:35 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/10 07:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 12:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 12:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 10:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:35 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/09 09:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:35 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/09 06:45 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/09 06:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/09 04:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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