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Mississippi at Miss State
Tue Jan 19, 2021
9:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Mississippi at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 2, Total Points: 130.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-18-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | E Washingtn | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Detroit | -23.5 | W by 1 | -22.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Temple | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC State | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Mt St Marys | -16.0 | W by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | UCF | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Troy | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Bryant | -15.0 | W by 17 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 26 | -14.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Florida | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Auburn | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miss State | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Carolina | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Alabama | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Missouri | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.0 | L by 26 | -27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -2.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2214 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1266 times (57.2%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 948 times (42.8%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1131-1049-34 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 149 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 79-70 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -3.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/19 08:56 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/19 08:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:26 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:53 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/19 04:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 04:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/19 03:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/19 01:34 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 12:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/19 11:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 11:01 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/19 10:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/19 10:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/19 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/19 08:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:07 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:35 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 08:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/18 08:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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