NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV WSU
Points 64.0 70.2
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 18.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.9
Shooting UNLV WSU
Field Goals Made 22.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 57.5
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 18.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 71.0%
Ball Control UNLV WSU
Rebounds 30.1 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 12.3
Turnovers 9.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.0
Steals 4.6 4.5
Fouls 13.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wash State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV WSU
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 69.1
% of Possessions with UNLV WSU
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.6%
Turnover 13.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV WSU
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 35.4%