NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS OKST
Points 76.2 71.0
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 23.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 14.2
Shooting MISS OKST
Field Goals Made 28.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 56.8
Field Goal % 47.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 20.0
Free Throw % 73.0% 71.2%
Ball Control MISS OKST
Rebounds 34.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.5
Turnovers 9.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.0
Steals 8.6 5.4
Fouls 14.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS OKST
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 68.8
% of Possessions with MISS OKST
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.1%
Turnover 13.2% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS OKST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 29.9%