BetIQ
Make Smarter Sports Bets
Mississippi at Arkansas
Wed Jan 27, 2021
8:30pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Mississippi at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 4.5, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-18-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-8-0 | 5-11-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | E Washingtn | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Detroit | -23.5 | W by 1 | -22.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Temple | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC State | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Mt St Marys | -16.0 | W by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | UCF | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Troy | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Bryant | -15.0 | W by 17 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 26 | -14.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Florida | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Auburn | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miss State | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Carolina | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Alabama | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Missouri | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.0 | L by 26 | -27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -4.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3091 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 1915 times (62.0%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 1176 times (38.0%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1556-1488-47 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 60 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 32-27-1 (54.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/27 07:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/27 07:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/27 05:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/27 11:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/27 10:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/27 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/27 10:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/27 10:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:41 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/26 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/26 11:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 10:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 10:11 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 09:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 08:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 07:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 06:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 06:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/26 05:23 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
Printed from TeamRankings.com - © 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved.