NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS MIZZ
Points 78.2 71.8
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 15.3
Shooting MISS MIZZ
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.7
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 19.2 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 19.4
Free Throw % 73.0% 78.9%
Ball Control MISS MIZZ
Rebounds 37.0 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.1
Turnovers 10.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.3
Steals 6.8 6.4
Fouls 14.9 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS MIZZ
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 69.3
% of Possessions with MISS MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.0%
Player Fouled 24.9% 21.2%
Turnover 14.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS MIZZ
Shot Blocked 5.9% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 29.2%