NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS TENN
Points 66.2 80.7
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 27.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 16.7
Shooting MISS TENN
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 62.4
Field Goal % 37.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 22.2
Free Throw % 73.0% 75.4%
Ball Control MISS TENN
Rebounds 33.5 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 14.4
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 6.3 6.8
Fouls 15.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS TENN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 76.3
% of Possessions with MISS TENN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 28.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.2%
Turnover 15.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS TENN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 38.0%