NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA BRY
Points 62.1 80.0
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 24.2
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.4
Shooting SFPA BRY
Field Goals Made 21.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 58.2
Field Goal % 34.0% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 35.4% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 21.3
Free Throw % 60.1% 67.6%
Ball Control SFPA BRY
Rebounds 38.6 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 7.8
Turnovers 11.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 7.8
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 17.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA BRY
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 70.8
% of Possessions with SFPA BRY
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 23.1%
Turnover 16.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA BRY
Shot Blocked 13.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 23.4%