NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA SH
Points 66.0 75.0
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 14.8
Shooting SFPA SH
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 55.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 12.2 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.1
Free Throw % 60.1% 70.0%
Ball Control SFPA SH
Rebounds 37.3 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.0
Turnovers 13.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.3
Steals 5.1 7.6
Fouls 15.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA SH
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 67.5
% of Possessions with SFPA SH
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 23.4%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.3%
Turnover 19.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA SH
Shot Blocked 11.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 25.1%