NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA VCU
Points 52.9 78.4
Total Points   131.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.4 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 26.1
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.6
Shooting SFPA VCU
Field Goals Made 18.2 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 52.0
Field Goal % 33.7% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 12.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 36.3% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 22.8
Free Throw % 60.1% 77.2%
Ball Control SFPA VCU
Rebounds 29.8 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.4
Turnovers 12.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.8
Steals 5.3 6.6
Fouls 16.5 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA VCU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 66.1
% of Possessions with SFPA VCU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.7%
Turnover 18.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA VCU
Shot Blocked 11.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 32.6%