NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFPA LIU
Points 69.2 68.8
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 15.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.1
Shooting SFPA LIU
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 55.8
Field Goal % 43.1% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.0
Free Throw % 60.1% 66.9%
Ball Control SFPA LIU
Rebounds 37.9 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 8.8
Turnovers 11.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.2
Steals 6.3 5.9
Fouls 15.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Fran (PA)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFPA LIU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 68.2
% of Possessions with SFPA LIU
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 19.3%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.9%
Turnover 15.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFPA LIU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 25.4%