NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST BING
Points 66.9 60.6
Total Points   127.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 14.5
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.7
Shooting MRST BING
Field Goals Made 23.1 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 50.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 20.7
Free Throw % 72.8% 66.4%
Ball Control MRST BING
Rebounds 31.9 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.1
Turnovers 8.7 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.8
Steals 6.0 4.4
Fouls 15.8 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST BING
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 63.0
% of Possessions with MRST BING
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.5%
Turnover 13.0% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST BING
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 24.3%