NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST BUCK
Points 61.3 57.9
Total Points   119.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 24.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 21.8
Points From Free Throws 12.0 11.5
Shooting MRST BUCK
Field Goals Made 21.1 19.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 49.4
Field Goal % 40.4% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 12.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 12.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 16.4
Free Throw % 72.8% 70.3%
Ball Control MRST BUCK
Rebounds 32.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.5
Turnovers 9.9 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 14.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST BUCK
Total Possessions 64.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 59.6
% of Possessions with MRST BUCK
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 31.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.4%
Turnover 15.4% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST BUCK
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 23.3%