NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST ARMY
Points 61.9 51.9
Total Points   113.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 23.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 19.7
Points From Free Throws 11.6 8.7
Shooting MRST ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.6 18.3
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 49.3
Field Goal % 42.4% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 11.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 11.6 8.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 14.5
Free Throw % 72.8% 60.0%
Ball Control MRST ARMY
Rebounds 33.2 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.8
Turnovers 9.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.2
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 13.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST ARMY
Total Possessions 63.4
Effective Scoring Chances 60.2 58.7
% of Possessions with MRST ARMY
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 20.9%
Turnover 15.6% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST ARMY
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 22.7%