NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST RID
Points 64.0 62.7
Total Points   126.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 15.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.4
Shooting MRST RID
Field Goals Made 21.8 21.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 52.4
Field Goal % 40.6% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 20.2
Free Throw % 72.8% 76.3%
Ball Control MRST RID
Rebounds 32.4 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.2
Turnovers 10.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 6.2 6.0
Fouls 14.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST RID
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 65.1
% of Possessions with MRST RID
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 20.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.0%
Turnover 15.4% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST RID
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 27.1%