NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST MAN
Points 71.7 69.3
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.8
Points From Free Throws 8.5 15.8
Shooting MRST MAN
Field Goals Made 27.8 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 57.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 8.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 11.8 20.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 77.4%
Ball Control MRST MAN
Rebounds 37.8 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.0
Turnovers 8.9 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.6
Steals 4.8 5.8
Fouls 13.4 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST MAN
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 69.1
% of Possessions with MRST MAN
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 16.6% 19.9%
Turnover 13.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST MAN
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 27.6%