NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST MAN
Points 76.4 65.0
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 15.7
Points From Free Throws 10.7 17.3
Shooting MRST MAN
Field Goals Made 29.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 53.8
Field Goal % 48.6% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 10.7 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 21.1
Free Throw % 80.7% 82.0%
Ball Control MRST MAN
Rebounds 35.8 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.6
Steals 5.4 6.8
Fouls 15.0 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST MAN
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 66.5
% of Possessions with MRST MAN
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.9%
Turnover 14.2% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST MAN
Shot Blocked 3.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 24.6%