NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST SIE
Points 65.4 54.1
Total Points   119.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 26.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 15.4
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.9
Shooting MRST SIE
Field Goals Made 23.6 18.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 49.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 17.3
Free Throw % 72.8% 68.7%
Ball Control MRST SIE
Rebounds 32.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.0
Turnovers 9.2 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 7.6 4.9
Fouls 13.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST SIE
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 61.3
% of Possessions with MRST SIE
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 23.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 20.9%
Turnover 14.0% 22.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRST SIE
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.2%