NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH KENT
Points 68.1 69.8
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 23.4
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.9
Shooting M-OH KENT
Field Goals Made 23.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 58.0
Field Goal % 43.9% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 19.0
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.1%
Ball Control M-OH KENT
Rebounds 32.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 11.4
Turnovers 11.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 15.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH KENT
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 70.2
% of Possessions with M-OH KENT
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 28.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.9%
Turnover 16.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH KENT
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 31.2%