NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU BAY
Points 74.4 78.7
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 25.4
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.6
Shooting TTU BAY
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 57.2
Field Goal % 46.4% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.0
Free Throw % 78.5% 73.1%
Ball Control TTU BAY
Rebounds 28.7 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 11.5
Turnovers 9.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 5.7 5.2
Fouls 14.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Baylor

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU BAY
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 70.0
% of Possessions with TTU BAY
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.8%
Turnover 13.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU BAY
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 35.6%