NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU HOU
Points 62.3 76.1
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 23.1 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 23.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 12.0
Shooting TTU HOU
Field Goals Made 19.1 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 63.2
Field Goal % 37.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 11.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.7 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 16.8
Free Throw % 78.5% 71.1%
Ball Control TTU HOU
Rebounds 32.8 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.8
Turnovers 12.7 7.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 5.5
Steals 3.8 7.4
Fouls 12.6 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU HOU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 74.3
% of Possessions with TTU HOU
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 28.3%
Player Fouled 23.8% 18.9%
Turnover 19.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU HOU
Shot Blocked 8.7% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 39.0%