NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU OKST
Points 77.9 69.6
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 23.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 11.8
Shooting TTU OKST
Field Goals Made 28.4 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 13.0 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 16.6
Free Throw % 78.5% 71.2%
Ball Control TTU OKST
Rebounds 34.1 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.4
Turnovers 9.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.7
Steals 6.9 4.9
Fouls 13.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU OKST
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.1
% of Possessions with TTU OKST
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 31.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.3%
Turnover 13.3% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU OKST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 27.4%