NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU HCU
Points 96.4 63.3
Total Points   159.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 14.0
Points From Free Throws 15.6 11.2
Shooting TTU HCU
Field Goals Made 35.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 58.7
Field Goal % 56.3% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 66.6% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 15.6 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 17.5
Free Throw % 78.5% 64.1%
Ball Control TTU HCU
Rebounds 39.0 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 19.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.4
Turnovers 7.5 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.8
Steals 7.4 4.0
Fouls 13.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU HCU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 69.7
% of Possessions with TTU HCU
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 19.3%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.3%
Turnover 10.4% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU HCU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 27.2%