NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU KU
Points 72.6 75.9
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 47.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 17.2
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.6
Shooting TTU KU
Field Goals Made 24.1 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 58.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 16.2
Free Throw % 78.5% 71.4%
Ball Control TTU KU
Rebounds 32.4 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.9
Turnovers 9.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 5.4 5.5
Fouls 12.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU KU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 69.2
% of Possessions with TTU KU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 22.1%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.3%
Turnover 13.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU KU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 27.5%