NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU OKLA
Points 73.7 73.8
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.7
Shooting TTU OKLA
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 56.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.6
Free Throw % 78.5% 73.5%
Ball Control TTU OKLA
Rebounds 31.5 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.1
Turnovers 8.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.0
Steals 6.0 4.4
Fouls 14.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU OKLA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 68.4
% of Possessions with TTU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.0%
Turnover 13.0% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 30.4%