NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU TENN
Points 67.5 77.9
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 26.7
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.9
Shooting TTU TENN
Field Goals Made 21.4 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 62.1
Field Goal % 37.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.5
Free Throw % 78.5% 75.4%
Ball Control TTU TENN
Rebounds 34.1 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 13.0
Turnovers 10.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.4 4.8
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 14.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU TENN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 74.3
% of Possessions with TTU TENN
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 31.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.3%
Turnover 15.5% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU TENN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 34.8%