NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU KSU
Points 73.9 70.5
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 20.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 13.9
Shooting TTU KSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 55.9
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 17.5 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.4
Free Throw % 78.5% 71.9%
Ball Control TTU KSU
Rebounds 34.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.0
Turnovers 8.9 12.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.7
Steals 6.9 4.3
Fouls 14.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU KSU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 68.6
% of Possessions with TTU KSU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.1%
Turnover 12.6% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU KSU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 32.3%