NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU DEP
Points 88.2 62.7
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 49.4 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 17.7
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.3
Shooting SJU DEP
Field Goals Made 33.1 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 52.9
Field Goal % 51.7% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 41.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 20.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.8%
Ball Control SJU DEP
Rebounds 40.8 27.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.2
Turnovers 8.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 6.7 1.9
Steals 7.3 4.8
Fouls 16.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU DEP
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 64.5
% of Possessions with SJU DEP
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 21.0%
Player Fouled 17.9% 24.0%
Turnover 11.8% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU DEP
Shot Blocked 3.8% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 40.2% 20.9%