NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU CREI
Points 72.7 78.8
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 48.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 29.3
Points From Free Throws 8.4 14.1
Shooting SJU CREI
Field Goals Made 29.4 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 71.7 59.0
Field Goal % 41.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 8.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 11.3 17.4
Free Throw % 74.2% 80.8%
Ball Control SJU CREI
Rebounds 38.2 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 7.9
Turnovers 6.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.7
Steals 5.7 3.4
Fouls 15.0 9.9

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU CREI
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 78.6 68.9
% of Possessions with SJU CREI
2 Point Attempt 63.8% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 13.8% 21.0%
Turnover 8.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU CREI
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 24.2%