NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU BYU
Points 75.6 78.5
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 30.1
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.4
Shooting SJU BYU
Field Goals Made 27.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 62.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 18.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 72.5%
Ball Control SJU BYU
Rebounds 36.7 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.6
Turnovers 9.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.3
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 14.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU BYU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 74.0
% of Possessions with SJU BYU
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 32.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.5%
Turnover 12.4% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU BYU
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 30.7%