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Arkansas St at Missouri St
Wed Dec 11, 2019
8:00pm ET
Springfield, MO
Arkansas St at Missouri St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Missouri St. by 9.5, Total Points: 132
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | MOSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-13-1 | 17-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-1 | 10-12-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 10-3-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 13-10-1 | 9-9-1 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +14.0 | L by 29 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Alcorn St | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Iowa | +20.5 | L by 14 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Jackson St | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Alabama | +25.5 | L by 24 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UAB | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Louisville | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Belmont | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | GA Southern | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Texas St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Louisiana | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Mississippi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Louisiana | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | UL Monroe | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UL Monroe | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | James Mad | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Troy | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Alabama | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Troy | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 17 | +9.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Coastal Car | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | App State | +7.5 | L by 23 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Louisiana | -3.0 | W by 27 | +24.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | App State | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -13.0 | W by 1 | -12.0 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Montana | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | High Point | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | W Virginia | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Fla Gulf Cst | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Abl Christian | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Drake | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Sam Hous St | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulsa | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Lindenwood | -17.5 | W by 22 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | St Marys | +13.5 | W by 5 | +18.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Bradley | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Murray St | -5.0 | L by 24 | -29.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Evansville | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana St | +12.5 | L by 22 | -9.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Drake | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Valparaiso | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | S Illinois | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Belmont | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | N Iowa | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Murray St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Bradley | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Belmont | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois St | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Murray St | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
| MOSU -9.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2107 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Missouri St. won the game 1704 times (80.9%).
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 403 times (19.1%).
- The team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 1036-1018-53 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1638 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 806-797-35 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/11 04:20 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:22 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:11 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:14 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:27 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:06 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/11 11:04 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 12/11 10:38 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 10:04 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/11 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/11 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/11 09:24 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/11 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/11 08:54 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/11 08:51 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:40 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 12/11 08:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/11 01:38 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 12/11 12:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/10 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 12/10 08:47 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:04 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:52 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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