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Arkansas St at Texas St
Thu Feb 9, 2023
8:00pm ET
San Marcos, TX
Arkansas St at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas State by 7, Total Points: 123
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | TXST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-13-1 | 18-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-1 | 12-9-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 10-3-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 13-10-1 | 11-10-1 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +14.0 | L by 29 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Alcorn St | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Iowa | +20.5 | L by 14 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Jackson St | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Alabama | +25.5 | L by 24 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UAB | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Louisville | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Belmont | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | GA Southern | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Texas St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Louisiana | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Mississippi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Louisiana | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | UL Monroe | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UL Monroe | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | James Mad | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Troy | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Alabama | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Troy | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 17 | +9.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Coastal Car | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | App State | +7.5 | L by 23 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Louisiana | -3.0 | W by 27 | +24.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | App State | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -13.0 | W by 1 | -12.0 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Montana | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | High Point | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| TXST -7.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3110 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas State won the game 2304 times (74.1%).
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 806 times (25.9%).
- The team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 1514-1513-83 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3521 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 1740-1709-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/09 07:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 06:16 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 02:31 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 02:01 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 01:19 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 11:40 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 10:31 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 09:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/09 08:07 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 05:13 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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