NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARST ARPB
Points 93.2 73.8
Total Points   167.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.2 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 24.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.7
Shooting ARST ARPB
Field Goals Made 33.2 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 68.0 59.1
Field Goal % 48.8% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.1 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 63.2% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.9
Free Throw % 70.2% 75.0%
Ball Control ARST ARPB
Rebounds 46.2 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 15.8 6.2
Turnovers 7.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.1 1.5
Steals 5.1 4.0
Fouls 16.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARST ARPB
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 82.5 70.6
% of Possessions with ARST ARPB
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.6%
Turnover 10.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARST ARPB
Shot Blocked 2.7% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 40.6% 16.9%