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Arkansas St at Louisiana
Fri Jan 22, 2021
7:00pm ET
Lafayette, LA
Arkansas St at Louisiana: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UL Lafayette by 9.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | ULL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-13-1 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-1 | 9-11-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 10-3-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 13-10-1 | 9-10-0 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +14.0 | L by 29 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Alcorn St | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Iowa | +20.5 | L by 14 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Jackson St | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Alabama | +25.5 | L by 24 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UAB | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Louisville | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Belmont | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | GA Southern | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Texas St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Louisiana | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Mississippi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Louisiana | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | UL Monroe | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UL Monroe | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | James Mad | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Troy | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Alabama | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Troy | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 17 | +9.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Coastal Car | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | App State | +7.5 | L by 23 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Louisiana | -3.0 | W by 27 | +24.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | App State | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -13.0 | W by 1 | -12.0 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Montana | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | High Point | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Youngs St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Toledo | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Louisiana College | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wright St | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Buffalo | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Loyola (LA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 11/30 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Rice | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Marshall | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Troy | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Arkansas St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 18 | +19.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Alabama | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Arkansas St | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Texas St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Alabama | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Old Dominion | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | App State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Troy | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | S Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 27 | -24.0 |
| ULL -9.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2108 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UL Lafayette won the game 1740 times (82.5%).
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 368 times (17.5%).
- The team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 1050-1026-32 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 130 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like UL Lafayette did better against the spread, going 68-62 (52.3% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.0 | -9.5 |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -10.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 06:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:47 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 04:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 04:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:23 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/22 02:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/22 02:20 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/22 01:02 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:17 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:17 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/22 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/22 08:56 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/22 08:34 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/22 08:08 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:02 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:02 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/21 05:05 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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