NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST MOSU
Points 64.8 69.2
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 19.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.1
Shooting ILST MOSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 57.7
Field Goal % 38.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 15.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.3%
Ball Control ILST MOSU
Rebounds 34.3 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.0
Turnovers 7.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.4
Steals 5.0 3.3
Fouls 13.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST MOSU
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.6
% of Possessions with ILST MOSU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.6%
Turnover 11.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST MOSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.9%