NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST BRAD
Points 59.8 71.1
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 15.2 9.9
Shooting ILST BRAD
Field Goals Made 19.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 55.6
Field Goal % 37.0% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.2 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 13.4
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.3%
Ball Control ILST BRAD
Rebounds 33.0 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.2
Steals 5.2 5.3
Fouls 13.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST BRAD
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 64.4
% of Possessions with ILST BRAD
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 33.2%
Player Fouled 23.5% 19.7%
Turnover 16.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 27.5%