NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST BRAD
Points 73.3 70.4
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 21.8
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.9
Shooting ILST BRAD
Field Goals Made 25.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 56.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 74.0%
Ball Control ILST BRAD
Rebounds 37.8 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.6
Turnovers 11.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.8
Steals 4.2 6.1
Fouls 15.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST BRAD
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 69.4
% of Possessions with ILST BRAD
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.0%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.5%
Turnover 16.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST BRAD
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 21.1%