NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST BRAD
Points 69.4 72.9
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.4 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 27.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 12.8
Shooting ILST BRAD
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 52.3
Field Goal % 41.4% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.2 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.9%
Ball Control ILST BRAD
Rebounds 31.8 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.1
Turnovers 8.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.1
Steals 5.4 4.5
Fouls 16.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST BRAD
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 63.1
% of Possessions with ILST BRAD
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 31.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 24.2%
Turnover 12.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST BRAD
Shot Blocked 5.9% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 20.5%