NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST MURR
Points 65.6 67.3
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 19.5
Points From Free Throws 12.1 10.2
Shooting ILST MURR
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 55.0
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 14.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 68.9%
Ball Control ILST MURR
Rebounds 32.1 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.2
Turnovers 10.2 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 4.1 4.6
Fouls 13.2 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST MURR
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 61.9 64.1
% of Possessions with ILST MURR
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 28.2%
Player Fouled 23.6% 20.6%
Turnover 16.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST MURR
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 25.4%