NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA NMSU
Points 74.6 62.9
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 15.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 12.3
Shooting SEA NMSU
Field Goals Made 23.6 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 57.2
Field Goal % 42.3% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 27.3%
Free Throws Made 18.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 18.7
Free Throw % 74.7% 65.5%
Ball Control SEA NMSU
Rebounds 39.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.7
Turnovers 9.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.6
Steals 5.3 4.8
Fouls 15.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA NMSU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 68.8
% of Possessions with SEA NMSU
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 23.9%
Player Fouled 26.1% 21.4%
Turnover 13.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA NMSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 22.8%